Victoria Seat Atlas
Census, welfare, property and election results rebuilt onto current boundaries. Pick any two measures and see how seats line up.
Findings
What the data shows today. Each card is computed from the same seat data as the tools below; open one to check it.The ten census, welfare and property measures where it sits furthest from the average seat.
Map
Correlate
Table view
Every measure ranked by its correlation (Pearson r) with the outcome across all seats. Click one to plot it.
Compare many
Every pair of the chosen measures, correlated across all seats. Blue means they rise together, amber means one falls as the other rises. Click a cell or a mini chart to open it in Correlate. The first measure is the outcome for the mini charts: click a chip to make it first, or the cross to drop it.
Ranking
Model
Positive means the seat voted higher than its profile predicts. These are the seats where candidates, campaigns or local issues matter most.
Polls
Every poll
Forecast: 28 November 2026
The forecast covers the 88 state districts. Switch to State in the top bar.
Preference flows
Where preferences go when a candidate is excluded. Defaults are fitted on the 2022 results. The Coalition-to-Labor-over-Greens figure reflects the Liberals putting Labor last in 2022; change it if their 2026 how-to-vote cards differ.
Sources and method
Corrections and changes
Every change to a published figure, newest first: what it was, what it is now, and why. Nothing is changed silently.